Depression over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area: Pre- Cyclone Watch for Gujarat Coast

The depression over Southeast and adjoining Lakshadweep & Eastcentral Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of about 31 kmph in last three hours and lay centred at 0830 hrs IST of today, the 10th June, 2019 near latitude 12.5°N and longitude 71.0°E over East central and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area, about 240 km northwest of Aminidivi (Lakshadweep), 760 km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 930 km south-southeast of Veraval (Gujarat). It is very likely to intensify further into a deep depression during next 06 hours, into a Cyclonic Storm during the subsequent 24 hours and into a Severe Cyclonic Storm thereafter. It is likely to move north-northwestwards during next 72 hours.

It is very likely to cause adverse impact in terms of wind & rainfall over Saurashtra & Kutch mainly on 13th & 14th June, 2019.

Forecast track and intensity are given in the following table:

Date/Time(IST)	Position (Lat. 0N/ long. 0E)	Maximum sustained surface wind speed (Kmph)	Category of cyclonic disturbance
10.06.19/0830	12.5/71.0	40-50 gusting to 60	Depression
10.06.19/1730	13.2/70.8	55-65 gusting to 75	Deep Depression
11.06.19/0530	14.6/70.5	65-75 gusting to 85	Cyclonic Storm
11.06.19/1730	16.0/70.3	80-90 gusting to 100	Cyclonic Storm
12.06.19/0530	17.5/70.0	90-100 gusting to 115	Severe Cyclonic Storm
12.06.19/1730	19.0/69.8	100-110 gusting to 125	Severe Cyclonic Storm
13.06.19/0530	20.3/69.6	110-120 gusting to 135	Severe Cyclonic Storm

Warnings:

(i) Heavy rainfall warning: 

Sub-Divisions	10 June 2019 *	11 June 2019*	12 June 2019*	13 June 2019*	14 June 2019*
Kerala	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places
Lakshadweep area	Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall	Widespread rainfall	Widespread rainfall	Widespread rainfall
Coastal Karnataka	Widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places
South Interior Karnataka	Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Rainfall at a few places	Rainfall at a few places	Rainfall at a few places	Rainfall at a few places
Konkan & Goa	Rainfall at a few places with isolated heavy falls over Goa	Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places	Fairly widespread rainfall
Saurashtra & Kutch	Dry	Rainfall at isolated places	Rainfall at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated places	Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places	Fairly widespread rainfall with heavy falls at isolated places

Note: * Rainfall till 0830 IST of next day.

Legends: Yellow: Be Updated; Orange- Be prepared; Red- Take action, Green: No warning

Heavy rain: 64.5-115.5 mm/day; Very heavy rain: 115.6-204.4 mm/day; Extremely heavy rain: more than 204.4 mm/day

(ii) Wind warning

o 10th June: Squally wind speed reaching 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph very likely to prevail over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Arabian Sea & Lakshadweep area. The strong wind speed reaching 35-45 kmph gusting to 55 kmph very likely to prevail over Kerala & Karnataka Coasts.

o 11th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase gradually and become gale wind speed reaching 65-75 kmph gusting to 85 kmph over eastcentral & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 40-50 kmph gusting to 60 kmph over Lakshadweep area, Kerala, Karnataka & south Maharashtra Coasts.

o 12th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase further becoming gale wind speed reaching 90-100 kmph gusting to 115 kmph over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over South Gujarat & Maharashtra Coasts.

o 13th June: Wind speed is very likely to increase further becomes 110-120 kmph gusting to 135 kmph over north Arabian Sea. It is very likely to be 65-75 kmph gusting to 75 kmph over Gujarat coast; and 50-60 kmph gusting to 70 kmph over north Maharashtra Coasts & northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea.

(iii) Sea condition

o The sea condition is very likely to be rough to very rough over Southeast and adjoining Lakshadweep area & Eastcentral Arabian Sea on 10th and very rough to high over eastcentral & adjoining southeast Arabian Sea on 11th. The sea condition is very likely to be high to very high over eastcentral & adjoining northeast Arabian Sea on 12thand over north Arabian Sea on 13th June 2019.

o The sea condition is very likely to be rough along & off Kerala & Karnataka Coasts on 10th; Lakshadweep area, along & off Kerala, Karnataka & south Maharashtra Coasts on 11th; rough to very rough along & off south Gujarat and Maharashtra Coasts on 12th; very rough to high over along & off Gujarat, north Maharashtra Coasts & northern parts of eastcentral Arabian Sea on 13th June, 2019. 

(i) Fishermen Warning

· The fishermen are advised not to venture into Southeast Arabian Sea, Lakshadweep area, along & off Kerala and Karnataka on 10th & 11th; East central Arabian Sea and along & off Maharashtra Coast on 11th & 12th; northeast Arabian sea and along & off Gujarat coast on 12th & 13th.

· Those, who are out in deep sea areas are advised return to the coast.

Courtesy:pib.nic.in