Monday, 14 May 2018

Thunderstorm activity observed over northwest India during past 24 hours and Forecast for next 2 days


Realised Weather during past 24 hrs ending of 0830 IST of Today (14 May 2018)

    • Rain/thundershowers accompanied with gusty / squally wind occurred at most places over Uttarakhand, East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal & Sikkim and Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura; at many places over Himachal Pradesh, Coastal & South Interior Karnataka, Chhattisgarh and Kerala; at a few places Jammu & Kashmir, West Uttar Pradesh, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, East Madhya Pradesh, Odisha, North Interior Karnataka and Rayalaseema and at isolated places over Punjab, West Madhya Pradesh, Telangana, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Assam & Meghalaya, Madhya Maharashtra, Lakshadweep and Andaman & Nicobar Islands.

Following maximum wind has been recorded during past 24 hours:
Station                                    Wind speed (Kmph)                             Time
Delhi (Safdarjung)
107
1644-1646 hrs
Delhi (Palam)
96
1633-1634 hrs

  • Current Weather systems and its forecast
    • The Western Disturbance as a trough lies over Pakistan & adjoining Afghanistan in middle tropospheric levels. It is likely to move eastwards during next 48 hours.
    • A cyclonic circulation lies over central Pakistan and adjoining northwest Rajasthan and Punjab in lower levels. It is likely to weaken after 24 hours.
    • The north-south trough runs from the above cyclonic circulation to north Madhya Maharashtra across southeast Rajasthan and West Madhya Pradesh at lower levels. It is likely to weaken gradually during next 48 hours.
    • A cyclonic circulation lies over northern parts of West Bengal & neighbourhood in lower levels. It is likely to persist over the same region during next 24 hours and weaken thereafter gradually.
    • The north-south trough runs along Long. 88°E to the north of 24°N at 3.1 km above mean sea level. It is likely to move eastwards gradually.
    • There is a north-south wind discontinuity from Rayalaseema to south Tamilnadu in lower levels.
  • Weather Forecast

  • Rain/thundershowers very likely at most places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand, West Bengal & Sikkim; at many places over Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka and at isolated to a few places over rest of the country outside Rajasthan, Gujarat, north Konkan and north Madhya Maharashtra where weather likely to be dry during next 2-3 days.
  • Weather warnings for next 2 days (14-15 May 2018):
    • Thunderstorm accompanied with squall and hail (wind speed reaching 50-70 kmphvery likely at isolated places over Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand and squall at isolated places over Gangetic West Bengal and Odisha.
    • Thunderstorm accompanied with gusty winds (wind speed reaching 50-60 kmphvery likely at isolated places over Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, Assam & Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura and wind speed reaching 40-50 kmph over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Rayalaseema, South Interior Karnataka, Tamilnadu & Puducherry.
    • Heavy rain very likely at isolated places over Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim, Kerala, South Interior Karnataka, interior Tamilnadu and Assam & Meghalaya.
    • Duststorm very likely at isolated places over Rajasthan.

The verification of thunderstorm warning issued on 13th May 2018 based on realized weather during past 24 hours ending at 0830 hrs. IST of 14th May is given in the enclosed table.

S.No.
Sub-Division
Forecast
warnings
Realized weather (highest rain in cm)
recorded at 0830 hrs of 14 May 2018
1
ANDAMAN & NICO. ISLANDS


2
ARUNACHAL PRADESH


3
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA
TS+ GW
TS+ GW
4
NAGA.MANI.MIZO.& TRIPURA
TS+ GW
TS+GW (Kohima & Kailashahar-1)
5
SUB-HIM.W. BENG. & SIKKIM


6
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL
TS+ GW
TS+GW (Canning-6)
7
ODISHA
TS + Squall
TS+GW (Chandbali-6)
8
JHARKHAND
TS+ GW
TS+GW (Daltonganj-2)
9
BIHAR


10
EAST UTTAR PRADESH
TS+ GW
TS+Squall (Gorakhpur-3)
11
WEST UTTAR PRADESH
TS+ GW
TS+Squall (Bareilly-2)
12
UTTARAKHAND
TS + Squall
TS+Squall
13
HARYANA CHD. & DELHI
TS+ GW
TS + GW+Squall (Ambala-2)
14
PUNJAB
TS+ GW
TS+GW (Patiala-1)
15
HIMACHAL PRADESH
TS + Squall
TS+GW (Solan-3)
16
JAMMU & KASHMIR
TS+ GW
TS+GW
17
WEST RAJASTHAN
DS
DS
18
EAST RAJASTHAN
DS
DS
19
WEST MADHYA PRADESH
TS+ GW
TS+GW
20
EAST MADHYA PRADESH
TS+ GW
TS+GW
21
GUJARAT REGION D.D. &
N.H.


22
SAURASTRA KUTCH & DIU


23
KONKAN & GOA


24
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA


25
MARATHAWADA


26
VIDARBHA
TS+ GW

27
CHHATTISGARH
TS+ GW
TS+GW
28
COASTAL ANDHRA
PRADESH
TS+ GW
TS+GW
29
TELANGANA
TS+ GW
TS
30
RAYALASEEMA
TS+ GW
TS+GW
31
TAMILNADU & PUDUCHERRY
TS+ GW+HR
TS+GW (Kakinada-3)
32
COASTAL KARNATAKA

TS+GW (Mangalore-5)
33
NORTH INT.KARNATAKA

TS+GW (Belgaum-5)
34
SOUTH INT.KARNATAKA
TS+ GW
TS+GW
35
KERALA
TS+ GW+HR
TS+GW (Thiruvananathapuram-6)
36
LAKSHADWEEP


          Legends: TS=Thunderstorm; GW=Gusty winds and HR= Heavy Rain


Courtesy: pib.nic.in

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